Monday March 24th , 2014 Cape Ann Weather..

Marine Forecast…
Mon NW winds 15 to 20 kt…diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Mon Night NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt… Becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Monday Forecast… Today will see mostly sunny skies with frigid temps for Spring 20’s will do it .. North West winds 10-15mph… Monday night
Very cold lows in the teens with a west wind 10-15mph …clear skies and wind chills in the single digits . Tuesday sun first thing in the morning will fade by late morning early afternoon in response to storm system coming up from the south . Highs in the 30’s with light south winds 5-10mph.. Clouds continue to increase late day with a few flurries possible .
Tuesday night overcast with temps in the 20’s to lower 30’s late night snows possible …North East Winds gusting 25-30mph !
Wednesday is the big storm or big miss? Lots of questions over the weekend as this storm system has potential to be epic and dangerous. Most models ECMWF / GFS / CMC / UKMET / SERFS / RPM all appear now to be further offshore with phasing and track .. How ever the intensity and closeness of the upper levels and 500mb to our coast are cause for alarm.. This storm is forecasted to “BOMB” off our coast by 150-200 miles down to 940’s mb’s .. When storms reach this much intensity they some times wobble west or loop north west . We need to be weary on this exact track as any change in track by 50 miles or so could mean a whole different impact to our area…
As of now I’m seeing a light impact 2-5″ of snow fall I’m predicting for Cape Ann , most for Gloucester / Rockport .. Winds will be NE sustained 25-30mph with gusts to 45 at least …Coastal flooding very minor with splash over on the Wednesday AM high tide …. Let’s thank our lucky stars that this monster is primarily a miss , with worst of storm over CC the Islands and far SE Mass coast …

Of course there’s still 48 hrs for models to change or trend back west once again . As long as this Monster stays out of the 40N 70W Bench Mark then will be speared . Keep this thought however in you’re minds.. Storms this intense can and do have surprises with them and again with 500mb and upper level low close by to our coast I can not rule out a closer track . Marginal for error is 50-100 miles … So any deviation to the left or north west and then we get into the meat of the beast with Hurricane Force Winds and 1-2′ ft of snow along with Major Coastal Flooding…
Thanks for viewing…
Peter Lovasco


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